Fri, 29 Nov 2024, 10:48 am

France stuck in extreme centre

by Diana Johnstone
  • Update Time : Sunday, May 1, 2022
  • 100 Time View

After years of neoliberalism, French politics that venture outside the conformist centre’s unshakable loyalty to the Atlantic Alliance are now dangerously ‘extreme’, writes Diana Johnstone

ON APRIL 24, Emmanuel Macron was re-elected for a second five-year term as president of the French Republic with 58.54 per cent of the vote. Just as in 2017, the candidate he defeated was Marine Le Pen, who got 41.46 per cent. Sounds like déjà vu all over again.

From the outside, this can be seen either as showing that Macron is a popular president and/or that France has once against been saved from the fascist threat. Neither of these impressions is correct. Mostly, it signifies that France is stuck in there is no alternative — the neoliberal replacement of political experimentation by expertise governance.

Macron is not overwhelmingly popular. In the first eliminatory round of elections held on April 10, over 72 per cent of voters chose one of the 11 other candidates.

Macron personifies centre

ABOUT four decades ago, when neoliberalism was just beginning to dictate its economic necessities, French political choices were defined by a traditional ‘left-right’ alternance in government, between the Socialist Party and the nominally, but not really, ‘Gaullist’ conservatives, later renamed The Republicans. But this alternance lost its edge because whichever party was in office, regardless of its campaign promises, it carried out the same neoliberal policies favouring profits over wages and public services.

Five years ago, with the left-right distinction blurred by such conformity, the time was right to create a movement which was neither left nor right, or perhaps both, but was in perfect conformity with the neoliberal policies of the European Union.

The handsome young banker Emmanuel Macron was initiated into government policy-making by highly influential individuals such as Jacques Attali, the economic and social theorist, and won support from international finance for this winning project. The 39-year-old’s personal aura of vigorous youth in a hurry to get things done attracted political amateurs to support his movement ‘En Marche’ — Let’s go. That personification won him the 2017 election.

What Macron was accelerating were in fact the neoliberal reforms promoted by the European Union. His policies facilitated privatisation and de-industrialisation, as well as cutbacks in public services such as hospitals and transport. This has caused most hardships in rural France, leading to the Yellow Vests protests, severely repressed by police.

Politics marginalised as ‘extremes’

LAST April 10, in the first round of this year’s presidential election, the two erstwhile ‘government’ parties, Republicans and Socialists, were nearly wiped out. The Republican candidate, Valérie Pécresse, who had started out high in the polls, came in short of the crucial five per cent of the vote, which gives parties public funding.

The fate of the Socialist Party was just as humiliating. Anne Hidalgo, famous as the mayor of Paris for her chaotic efforts to eliminate cars in favour of bicycles and scooters, scored a pathetic 1.75 per cent, even less than the Communist Party candidate Fabien Roussel who got 2.28 per cent.

The April 10 election produced three big voting blocs, around three candidates with weak parties, uncertain programmes but strong personalities each representing an attitude: Emmanuel Macron 27.83 per cent, Marine Le Pen 23.15 per cent, Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumiseparty, 21.95 per cent.

If Mélenchon had come in second, facing Macron, there would surely have been a fear campaign stigmatising him as dangerously ‘extreme,’ even ‘communist’ and ‘an anti-European friend of Putin.’ Instead Marine Le Pen came in second, and the fear campaign stigmatised her as ‘extreme right,’ even ‘fascist’ and ‘an anti-European friend of Putin.’

Politics outside the conformist centre is dangerously ‘extreme.’

Mélenchon embodies the left

MÉLENCHON’S high score was the triumph of a strong personality over parties. His fiery rhetoric gained wide public recognition when he broke with the Socialist Party during the 2005 referendum on the EU draft constitution.

The constitution was rejected by voters, but in defiance of the popular vote, parliamentarians went on to adopt the same measures in the Lisbon Treaty, confirming the neoliberal globalising policies of the European Union and its attachment to the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation.

In 2016, Mélenchon founded his own party La France Insoumise — Insubordinate France — whose main asset is his own vigorous oratory and cantankerous relationship with the media and adversaries. In the 2017 presidential race, he came in fourth with promises of bold policies defying EU constraints.

This time around, Mélenchon adopted a programme that lacked coherence but clearly aimed at gaining votes from all sections of France’s divided and weakened left. He stressed lavishly generous measures to improve ‘purchasing power’: higher minimum wage, lowering retirement age to 60, price controls on basic necessities — measures that seemed unrealistic even to many on the left.

His measures to woo the green vote went all the way from all-bio free school lunches to phasing out nuclear power by 2045 — against the growing trend in France to look to France’s nuclear power industry as essential to survival.

This succeeded in leaving the Green candidate Yannick Jadot, who had dreamed of emulating the success of the bellicose German Greens, with only 4.63 per cent of the vote.

For LGBTQI voters, Mélenchon spoke favourably of amending the constitution to guarantee the right to change gender — a right that exists already. This might be seen as a bit contradictory to his efforts to gain support of the Muslim community.

Nevertheless, Muslim leaders issued a statement: ‘We, imams and preachers, call on French citizens of the Muslim faith to vote in the first round for the least worst of the candidates in that presidential election: Jean-Luc Mélenchon.’

According to exit polls, Mélenchon got nearly 70 per cent of Muslim votes.

This may have overlapped somewhat with his high score among youth in cities and ethnically mixed suburbs: 38 per cent of voters under 25. He called for lowering the voting age to 16.

All in all, Mélenchon’s votes corresponded most clearly to the identity politics vote focused on societal rather than socio-economic issues although he did well with the working class — 27 per cent of workers and 22 per cent of employees — but Marine Le Pen did better — 33 per cent and 36 per cent.

Asked why they voted for Mélenchon, about 40 per cent said it was a ‘useful’ vote — not to support his programme, but rather because he was the candidate on the left who might have eliminated Marine Le Pen. He now dreams of sweeping the legislative elections in June to become the leader of the opposition — or even prime minister.

Mélenchon’s last word to his followers on the evening of April 10 was imperative: ‘Not one vote for Marine Le Pen!’

Le Pen: the outsider

AN ENEMY is always a unifying factor, and for the fractured French left, Marine Le Pen is the unifier. She inherited this role from her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen.

In the early 1980s, when president François Mitterrand abruptly abandoned the socialising Common Programme that got him elected with strong Communist Party support, the Socialist Party switched its ideological focus to ‘anti-racism.’

Anti-racism gradually mutated into support for immigration and even open borders, on the grounds that any restrictions on immigration must be motivated by ‘racist hate.’

This was not the traditional attitude of the left. In the early 1930s, and for decades afterwards, opposition to mass immigration was a key policy of the Marxist left and the labour movement, which saw mass immigration as a technique of capital to split worker solidarity and lower wages.

Immigration evolved into a key issue only since the institutionalised left abandoned its economic programme in order to go along with neoliberalism imposed by the EU. As it happens, open borders is a position that is totally compatible with neoliberal economics, and the two can flourish together, tending towards identity politics.

In 1980, the closest the Socialists could find as a racist villain was Jean-Marie Le Pen, who was opposed to large-scale immigration primarily for reasons of national identity. His diverse party, the National Front, included remnants of moribund ultra-right groups although JMLP was more facetious than fascist. His enemies blew up his remark that ‘gas chambers were a detail of World War II’ into proof of complicity in the Holocaust. More proactive enemies blew up his apartment, making an impression on his then eight-year-old daughter Marine.

Marine went on to a career as a lawyer, two marriages and three children before turning to politics and virtually inheriting her father’s political party as he retired. Jean-Marie had enjoyed being provocative. Marine wanted to win hearts and minds.

She purged the most extremist elements of the party, successfully ran for parliament in the depressed northern town of Henin-Beaumont, changed the party’s name from Front National to the looser Rassemblement National and increasingly took her distance from the party itself.

She tried to be friendly to Jewish organisations. Her programme called for a popular referendum on controlling immigration, which among other things would allow France to expel foreigners convicted of serious crimes. Her most controversial, and probably impossible, proposals concerned ‘eradicating Islamic extremist ideology’, distinguished from conventional Islam.

Jean-Marie Le Pen was fiercely anti-de Gaulle, not least because president Charles de Gaulle conceded independence to Algeria. That is ancient history to his daughter’s generation.

Marine Le Pen has increasingly identified with Gaullism: patriotism, national independence and a social conservatism that respects the interests of the working class.

She has called for France to leave the joint command of NATO, as did de Gaulle in 1966. President Nicolas Sarkozy rejoined in 2009. She has also advocated an independent foreign policy, normalising relations with Russia — a point she iterated even after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Meanwhile, various wars, especially the 2011 destruction of Libya, have accelerated illegal immigration.

While the brain drain — notably of medical personnel from poor countries — is always welcome, the economy is currently not able to absorb unqualified labour, which inevitably leads to social problems. The refusal of the left to acknowledge the existence of such problems makes it extremely difficult to raise the issue without being labeled ‘racist.’ But the questions raised are there.

Zemmour: surprise candidate

IN REALITY, opposition to mass immigration suddenly dominated this presidential campaign as the political writer and television commentator Eric Zemmour set out to steal the issue away from Marine Le Pen and run with it all the way to the presidency.

Zemmour is a sort of anti- Lévy, the very opposite of the rich ‘philosopher’ Bernard Henri Lévy — both of Algerian Jewish origin.

In the Mitterrand 1980s, Lévy won fame as a leading anti-communist liberal leftist, castigating France for its latent fascism and anti-Semitism. If the United States and NATO can make a war in Afghanistan, Bosnia, Libya or Ukraine, he is all for it.

Lévy is tall and means to be glamorous. Zemmour is small and mousy but speaks more reasonably than the flamboyant Lévy.

In contrast to Lévy’s moral lectures to the French, Zemmour has embraced his French homeland with ardent love and wishes to defend it from the perils of mass immigration and Islamist extremism. His initial rallies drew enthusiastic crowds, notably drawing many well-educated young men.

While Marine Le Pen appeals to the working class in small towns and rural areas, Zemmour won his followers among the educated upper class, calling for a ‘reconquest’ of France from the ‘great replacement’ of the French by immigration.

Zemmour came in fourth with a little over seven per cent in the first round compared to Le Pen’s 23.15 per cent. His ambition is to lead the formation of a new right-wing party. He scored relatively well in the rich western sections of Paris and came in first among overseas French living in Israel and other countries of the region.

It seems that Zemmour bit slightly into the upper income vote which finally went fairly solidly to Macron. The class division was clear in the final election — Macron got the votes of the prosperous, Marine was the favourite of the forgotten.

In the final election, Marine Le Pen swept France’s overseas territories in the West Indies, scoring 70 per cent in Guadeloupe and 60 per cent in Martinique and French Guyana. Since 93 per cent of Guadeloupe’s population is of African origin, this vote seems to confirm that, whatever others may say or think, Marine Le Pen’s supporters do not consider her to be ‘racist.’ One of her most controversial positions, which Macron made much of during their debate, is to ban women covering their heads in public. Macron said it would start a ‘civil war.’

Personality matters in politics. Just as Mélenchon’s popularity owes a lot to his irascible nature, Marine Le Pen’s popularity owes a lot to her public personality: a woman who appears warm, good humored and resilient.

Stop fascism!

AFTER first issuing the order, ‘Not one vote for Le Pen!’, Mélenchon went on to exhort his first-round voters not to abstain, in effect endorsing Macron. The notion was that electing Le Pen would put an end to freedoms once and for all.

Over 350 non-governmental organisations signed a statement by the Movement Against Racism and for Friendship among Peoples warning that her election would ‘abolish the state of law.’

Small groups of anarchist students temporarily occupied the Sorbonne and a couple of other elite universities in Paris and tore things up to show their discontent, a warning of what might come later.

The General Confederation of Labour declared that: ‘History shows there is a difference of nature between republican parties that gain power and give it up and the extreme right which, once in power, confiscates it.’

And how would she do that? Her party is not very strong and entirely based on electoral politics. There is no militia organised to use force for political purposes, as in the case of real historic fascists. There are plenty of counter-powers in France, including political parties, hostile media, a largely left-leaning magistrature, the armed forces, linked to NATO, big business and finance which have never supported Le Pen, the entertainment industry, etc., etc.

In reality, the real danger of Marine Le Pen being elected was quite the opposite: the difficulty she would have had in governing. In her campaign, she made it clear she would want to share power, but with whom? Certain groups were promising to raise hell in the streets. Much of her proposed legislation would be impossible to enact or would face opposition in the courts.

Hypothesis of compromise

LET us just imagine a different context, where ‘left’ is no longer defined by ‘absolute refusal to have anything to do with anyone on the right.’

Macron’s programme for the next five years further speeds up the EU-sponsored neoliberal reforms, notably lengthening the age of retirement from 62, as it is now, to 65.

Mélenchon actually called for lowering retirement age to 60. Meanwhile, Marine Le Pen emphasised her support for retaining a lower retirement age, with special concern for all those who have worked in physically demanding jobs since an early age. This position helped her come in first with working-class voters.

In an imaginary different context, Mélenchon could have proposed a compromise with Le Pen, in order to defeat Macron and carry out a somewhat more social programme.

Since the two largely agreed on the crucial issue of foreign policy — in particular, avoiding war with Russia — it might be possible to work out some sort of ‘Gaullist’ policy in common that would break the hold of the extreme centre, with its unshakable loyalty to the Atlantic Alliance. This would not have led to ‘confiscation of power’ but would shake things up. It would be re-introducing alternance into political life.

But in reality as it is, Mélenchon gave the election to Macron. And now he aspires to lead the opposition to Macron. But so do Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour.

Election and Ukraine war

WHEN Russian forces moved into Ukraine on February 24, the prediction was that this would solidify Macron’s position as the head of state in a military crisis. As media and politicians rushed to express solidarity with Ukraine against Russia, both Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon were denounced for their well-known attitude towards improving relations with Russia. A photo of Marine Le Pen with Vladimir Putin was widely circulated by Green adversaries in the expectation that this would destroy her chances.

It didn’t happen that way. In fact, both those ‘Putin-understanders’ saw their approval ratings rise as the war continued.

Moreover, Fabien Roussel, the rather fresh and young Communist Party candidate, was edging towards a mild comeback for his party when the war began, but started to sink after he took the conventional western anti-Russian, pro-Ukrainian position.

The Green candidate Yannick Jadot, who had hoped to emulate the success of the German Greens, and Valérie Pécresse, candidate of the once powerful Republicans, both followed the official western line on the war. Neither of them reached five per cent.

In the first round, then, the war was not an issue, at least not at open issue, but it may have been a hidden issue, indicating that French voters are not as Russophobic as they are supposed to be.

However, in their three-hour televised debate on April 20, Macron took a low road to attack Le Pen.

Unlike Macron, whose campaigns can always count on generous donors, Marine Le Pen is chronically hard up for funding. In 2014, when no French bank would lend her money for the upcoming regional elections, she took out a loan of 9.4 million euros with the First Czech Russian Bank. The bank has since failed, and she continues to pay its creditors. During their debate, Macron abruptly referred to that loan, which is public knowledge, telling Le Pen that ‘when you speak to Putin you are talking to your banker.’ She reacted indignantly, stressing that she was a free woman.

Alexei Navalny followed up with a statement from his Russian prison in support of Macron. Three European prime ministers, Olaf Scholz of Germany, Pedro Sanchez of Spain and Antonio Costa of Portugal wrote an open letter opposing Marine Le Pen as ‘an extreme-right candidate who openly sides with those who attack our freedom and democracy, values based on the French ideas of Enlightenment.’ European leaders naturally rushed to congratulate Macron for his victory as a commitment to European construction.

Marine Le Pen had insisted that the significant political division was no longer between left and right but between preservation of the nation and globalisation. The drastic division of the world resulting from the Ukraine crisis is seen by some as ending the myth of globalisation, and concern for the welfare of the nation is inevitably growing. Nevertheless, in this election, globalisation won over the conservation of the nation.

The Ukraine war was not a major issue in France largely because Macron himself is perhaps the least Russophobic among the leaders of major European countries. His efforts to encourage Ukraine to negotiate the settlement of the Donbass problem according to the Minsk accords failed, but at least he made those efforts, or seemed to make those efforts. He appears to wish to salvage what he can of his position as a potential negotiator, even as all prospects for negotiations are blocked by US insistence on using the Ukraine crisis to defeat, and even destroy, Russia.

Government by consultancy firms

ON MARCH 17, the French Senate issued a report that revealed the profoundly technocratic nature of the Macron regime. In the last four years, the Macron government has paid at least 2.43 billion euros to international, largely American, consultancy firms to design policies or procedures in all fields, especially public health. For example, McKinsey consultancy charges the ministry of health 2,700 euros per day, a sum equal to the monthly salary for a public hospital employee.

This amounts to a form of very expensive privatisation of the government. Even more serious, it means turning over the intellectual capacity of the French government to agencies adept in fashioning the uniform western narrative in all matters. This is how technocratic ‘governance’ destroys political government.

After his victory, Macron celebrated under the European flag. Marine Le Pen had called for a French foreign policy independent of the ‘Franco-German couple.’ Macron promises to preserve the close partnership with Germany, even as tendencies in the two countries diverge more and more visibly. The prospects of an independent ‘Gaullist’ French foreign policy remain remote.

Consortiumnews.com, April 27. Diana Johnstone is an author. She was press secretary of the Green Group in the European Parliament in 1989–1996.

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